Fundamentals and Technicals Align: Is Dogecoin Set for a 60% Surge?

The approval of ETFs will affect the entire market structure.

Since late July, several mainstream media outlets and investment analysts have predicted that the SEC may approve multiple cryptocurrency ETFs in the third quarter, including spot Ethereum and altcoin composite ETFs. Once approved, it is expected to bring passive fund inflows to several projects, including DOGE.

Although DOGE is not a mainstream blue-chip coin, its high community engagement and trading activity give it the potential to be included in ETF asset pools, thereby benefiting from capital allocation.

The community’s enthusiasm is reignited, becoming the “fuel” for the upward trend.

The success of DOGE is inseparable from its large community, including prominent figures in the crypto space like Elon Musk who frequently speak out on the X platform, which has propelled DOGE to become a “meme asset for everyone.” Recently, the mention of the keyword “Dogecoin” on social media has surged by over 120%, indicating a resurgence of retail enthusiasm.

Community momentum is particularly important for meme coins. Once the popularity on social platforms rises, it will attract more new funds to flow in.

Bitcoin provides stable support for altcoin market.

Bitcoin is currently stable above $50,000, with reduced market risk aversion and an increase in risk appetite. Against this backdrop, market funds often seek out additional targets for growth, and DOGE, with its extremely high liquidity and market attention, has become a top choice.

Historical data shows that each time Bitcoin breaks through, DOGE tends to experience significant gains in the following 1-2 weeks.

The technical and emotional aspects resonate synchronously.

DOGE has tested the upper channel line at $0.243 three times, and each time the pullback has been decreasing, indicating weakening selling pressure. The market is building momentum in anticipation of a breakout. This structure of “K-line convergence + emotional expansion” is very typical and can easily trigger significant volatility in the short term.

Once the price stabilizes at the upper track of the channel, the next target will first look at 0.30 dollars, and then at 0.4 dollars.

Investor operation suggestions

Short-term opportunity: Breakthrough the upper channel, can enter with a light position within 1 hour.

Medium-term layout: Buy on dips in the 0.243–0.25 range, targeting 0.4 USD

Risk Control:

• Stop loss level: 0.23 USD
• Partial profit-taking: 0.30, 0.37, 0.4 USD

Mindset Management: Pay attention to the risk of a quick pullback after emotions rise, and avoid chasing highs.

Conclusion

Dogecoin is at the intersection of three favorable factors: “fundamentals + technicals + community”, and a 60% increase target is not out of reach. For novice investors, this is a good opportunity to learn market rhythms and practice trading logic, with the key being strict adherence to trading discipline.