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Can't wait for Bitcoin to drop below 100,000 anymore? The future will crush the S&P 500.
"In the entire cryptocurrency economy, a wave of innovation is emerging," MicroStrategy founder Michael Saylor recently made a stunning statement in an interview with Bloomberg. When asked about the future trend of Bitcoin, he firmly predicted: "In the infinite future, Bitcoin's performance will always outperform the S&P 500 index!"
Behind this sentence is the trillion-level faith endorsement of this largest Bitcoin enterprise holder.
Why Dare to Say "Infinite Future"? The Super Shift of Politics and Capital
At the Bitcoin conference in Prague this June, Saylor significantly raised the ultimate target price of Bitcoin from $13 million to $21 million (by 2046). How does he have the confidence to predict an $8 million increase in just one year?
The political black swan has become a white swan. Saylor pointed out bluntly: Trump's victory in November 2024 opens a new era of pro-Bitcoin politics. What was once regarded as a fantasy, "the establishment of a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the United States," is now becoming a reality. Legislative measures are also in full swing:
Establish a legal foundation for stablecoins
Clear up the regulatory gray areas
Granting Bitcoin a national strategic status
When the White House publicly declares its intention to become a "world Bitcoin superpower", this currency revolution has received the strongest political endorsement.
Data Crushing: The "Gold Inequality" of Bitcoin is Forming
7,200,000% vs 306%——This is the comparison of the return rates of Bitcoin and the S&P 500 index over the past 14 years, with a difference of more than 20,000 times! Even looking at the performance over the past two years, Bitcoin's 173% return rate far exceeds the S&P 500's 29%. Even more revolutionary is the "cost of equity theory" proposed by Saylor:
This explains why the number of publicly listed companies holding coins has surged from 60 to 160. When Boya Interactive achieved a 400% surge in stock price with 2,641 Bitcoins, and when Metaplanet's market value skyrocketed due to its Bitcoin strategy, capital voting with feet has become a trend.
King of Positions: The "Perpetual Motion" Coin Hoarding of Strategy
While other companies are still cautiously buying in, Strategy has turned coin hoarding into a precision machine:
(accounting for 3% of the circulation)
(costing $2.46 billion)
The more it rises, the more I buy is Saylor's crazy logic. Just as Bitcoin approached its historical high of $120,000, he still swept in with an average price of $117,526, setting the second highest purchase price in the company's history.
Supporting this "perpetual motion machine" is innovative financing techniques:
Volatility Paradox: The Easter Egg Left by Satoshi Nakamoto for Ordinary People
In response to the criticism that "Bitcoin's fluctuation is too large," Saylor provides a shocking interpretation:
The current volatility of Bitcoin has decreased from an early 80%-100% to around 50%. As the options market matures and the banking system accepts it, volatility will continue to converge — but this is precisely the last window period for ordinary people to get in at a low price.
When MARA Holdings insisted on a "full HODL strategy" despite a quarterly loss of $530 million due to cryptocurrency price fluctuations, mining companies collectively transformed into vertically integrated energy companies to reduce costs, while professional players are paving the way for a long bull market.
Will we never see Bitcoin below 100,000 again?
The market is forming a brutal consensus: Bitcoin may never experience a traditional bear market again. Even if there is a correction, the magnitude will be much smaller than in historical cycles. 100,000 USD has become the new bottom — this is the cost line for mining enterprises, the accumulation line for institutions, and more importantly, the strategic defensive line supported by political will.
When 99.8% of global capital has yet to awaken (with Bitcoin accounting for only 0.2% of global wealth), and when central banks around the world still keep Bitcoin at bay (with 91 central banks having zero allocation), this monetary revolution has just ignited the fuse.
Missing out is the biggest risk. As the industry warns: "Being stuck can be resolved, but missing out might mean missing it for a lifetime." When Bitcoin truly surges to 21 million dollars as Saylor predicts, the difference between buying in at 110,000 or 120,000 will be negligible.
The Dialectics of "Getting On Board" for Ordinary People
When Strategy builds Bitcoin reserves with preferred shares, and MARA achieves green mining through wind power and shale gas, professional players are establishing moats that are hard for ordinary people to replicate.
But ordinary investors can still take advantage:
Share the institutional growth dividend
Capture the dual benefits of Bitcoin and energy
Master the true asset sovereignty
The duality of Bitcoin is becoming evident: It is a risk asset when U.S. stocks rise, and a safe-haven asset when gold rises. When these two attributes ultimately merge, it will be the moment of restructuring the fiat currency world order.
As Saylor proclaimed at the Prague conference: "The flame of Satoshi Nakamoto is now unstoppable. The network is unstoppable." When national capital resonates with technological innovation, the energy of this monetary revolution has just begun to be unleashed.